The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released a table Friday indicating who will likely be subject to the individual mandate as proposed the Senate. I have made you a little pie chart to give you an indication of which populations would be subject to the fee, showing where the revenue from the penalty would come from.
As we have learned, the Senate has significantly reduced their individual mandate (currently scaling up to $750 per uninsured by 2016) to the point where AHIP, the health insurer trade group, has become worried.
As you can see from the table above, 45% of the penalties are paid by those making less than 300% of the Federal Poverty Level. A more more progressive tax, such as the one proposed by the House, would have a better income distribution. This would be designed in which the amount paid in the form of a penalty for not purchasing health insurance would be greater for individuals making higher incomes.
RAND indicates that a strong individual mandate, similar to the one passed by the House, alone would increase the number of insured by 34 million.
By Emma Sandoe